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Photo: Benh LIEU SONG from Torcy, France / CC BY-SA 2.0 / Wikimedia

Crowd Wisdom — China Prediction Markets

What betting markets think will happen, sourced from Polymarket

POLYMARKET

Resolves 2026-12-31

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

7% YES

$23356K traded Foreign Policy

View on Polymarket →

POLYMARKET

Resolves 2026-05-31

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

4% YES

$14084K traded transit

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POLYMARKET

Resolves 2026-12-31

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

7% YES

$9413K traded Geopolitics

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POLYMARKET

Resolves 2026-06-30

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

1% YES

$8170K traded World

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Canada-China on social

Posts specifically about the bilateral relationship

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